Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.011397 0.013806 0.016819 0.020948 0.026600 0.034291 0.045971
2025-03-02 0.008102 0.010653 0.014253 0.019953 0.029300 0.045201 0.077660
2025-03-09 0.006529 0.009035 0.012855 0.019535 0.032046 0.057590 0.126481
2025-03-16 0.005678 0.008183 0.012251 0.019994 0.036361 0.076405 0.225158
2025-03-23 0.005003 0.007439 0.011590 0.020047 0.039860 0.097155 0.398663
2025-03-30 0.004370 0.006636 0.010632 0.019180 0.040804 0.112313 0.635648
2025-04-06 0.003920 0.006069 0.009980 0.018741 0.042643 0.133633 1.141026
2025-04-13 0.003653 0.005780 0.009789 0.019263 0.047564 0.176947 3.056608
2025-04-20 0.003506 0.005682 0.009951 0.020676 0.056440 0.265445 21.773367
2025-04-27 0.003331 0.005504 0.009909 0.021566 0.064425 0.384507 6513.340825
2025-05-04 0.003113 0.005215 0.009576 0.021565 0.069040 0.505485 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002920 0.004953 0.009262 0.021527 0.073679 0.671143 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002708 0.004655 0.008876 0.021366 0.078963 0.954301 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002470 0.004282 0.008268 0.020359 0.079214 1.184329 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002294 0.004016 0.007871 0.019929 0.082756 1.673568 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002181 0.003872 0.007749 0.020401 0.093182 3.202551 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002063 0.003701 0.007529 0.020455 0.101250 6.125441 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001918 0.003458 0.007091 0.019564 0.100822 8.595962 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001805 0.003277 0.006789 0.019114 0.104034 15.504941 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001740 0.003194 0.006737 0.019650 0.118101 79.622140 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001710 0.003187 0.006886 0.021103 0.146979 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001662 0.003135 0.006904 0.022018 0.174055 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.001592 0.003024 0.006737 0.022016 0.188884 NaN NaN